Applications of Abduction #3: \black-box" to \gray-box" Models
نویسندگان
چکیده
Military Operations Research makes extensive use of large complex simulation models. These simulation models are often black-boxes; i.e. they are opaque and incomprehensible. A considerable effort is involved in commissioning a new model into service. We characterise this activity as the construction of gray-box approximate causal models of the functional behaviour of black-box simulation software. While the imported black-box models are typically numeric, determinate and precise, their associated gray-box models are under-speciied, in-determinant and vague. Here we explore the use of the HT4 abductive inference engine to support the process of using ad-hoc experience with black-box models to construct and maintain partially-speciied gray-box models.
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